The U.S. car market is poised for a transformative year in 2024. With used car prices falling and new vehicle production nearing pre-pandemic levels, dealerships face unique challenges and opportunities. As inventories normalize, OEMs are increasingly using incentives to influence consumer behavior, particularly in the leasing sector.
The Shifting Landscape of Car Leasing
Vehicle leasing, once a popular option for nearly one-third of American buyers, saw a decline during the pandemic. Scarcity of inventory resulting from parts and chip shortages drove up transactional prices as dealers controlled prices and selling conditions. With affordability being top of mind, longer finance terms ensued because consumers made their decisions driven by affordable monthly payments. With inventory scarcity, OEMs shut off the use of incentives which almost brought leasing to a halt.
However, the landscape is changing. Market intelligence from Expert Market Research indicates that the leasing market is projected to witness substantial growth from 2024 to 2032. Affordable monthly consumer payments will fuel that growth, but several other factors are driving this resurgence:
- Increase in Subscription-Based Models: Subscription-based car leasing models are gaining traction, offering consumers the flexibility of car use without long-term commitments.
- Popularity of EVs and Hybrid Vehicles: Leasing companies are expanding their offerings to include a variety of electric and hybrid models, appealing to eco-conscious consumers.
- Technological Advancements: Connected car services and advanced mobile applications enhance the leasing experience by providing real-time performance monitoring, maintenance alerts, and other value-added services.
Why Leasing makes Sense for Dealers
For dealerships, embracing a strong leasing portfolio is not just beneficial; it’s essential. Here’s why:
- Revenue and Profitability: Leasing can significantly impact dealership profitability. With inventories normalizing, OEMs are likely to increase leasing incentives. These incentives can make leasing more attractive than traditional financing, driving more customers towards lease agreements. With leasing cycles generally mimicking new-car warranty schemes, lease customers tend to be more loyal, returning to the same dealership for service and subsequent purchases, thereby boosting long-term revenue.
- Customer Retention: Leasing offers a shorter customer lifecycle compared to long-term financing. During the pandemic, many consumers opted for 72-84 months’ finance terms due to limited inventory and high prices. This extended finance period means fewer opportunities for dealerships to sell new vehicles to existing customers. In contrast, leasing typically involves a three-year cycle, providing dealers with more frequent opportunities to engage with customers and secure repeat business.
- Addressing Negative Equity: Leasing can help address negative equity in new car sales. With the rising cost of new vehicles, many consumers find themselves owing more on their car loans than their cars are worth. Leasing can mitigate this issue, offering a more attractive and manageable financing option that can enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty.
- Brand Loyalty: Leasing has the potential to influence brand loyalty significantly. Customers who lease vehicles are more likely to remain brand loyal, especially when they have a positive experience with their dealership. By providing attractive lease deals and superior service, dealerships can strengthen their relationship with customers, encouraging them to stay within the brand for future vehicle purchases.
- Adapting to Market Trends: Recent trends, such as Tesla’s price reductions on models Y and 3, highlight the competitive nature of the current market. Traditional OEMs and franchised dealers must adapt by offering compelling leasing options to attract consumers. By staying competitive in the leasing market, dealerships can maintain a strong market presence and meet the evolving needs of their customers.
In 2024, the leasing market presents a unique opportunity for dealership management to enhance their revenue streams, improve customer retention, and adapt to stay relevant given the shifting market trends. As OEMs increase incentives and inventories return to normal levels, now is an opportune time for dealerships to prioritize leasing as a key element of their customer portfolio. Embracing leasing can lead to increased customer satisfaction, loyalty, and profitability, making it a strategic move for any dealership.
Reference: Cox Automotive’s Forecast: 2024 – A Return to Normalcy in the U.S. Auto Market, published on January 3, 2024, provides detailed insights into the expected trends and economic conditions influencing the automotive market in 2024.
Author : Becca Villegas
Chief Operating Officer
Prior to joining Mach10, Becca held key roles in Inventory Management, Sales Operations, and Dealer Relations Management for Mercedes-Benz USA & Mercedes-Benz Financial Services (MBFS). Most recently, Becca served as the Operations Director for a prominent dealership group encompassing 14 new car franchises.